PUBLISHER: Global Industry Analysts, Inc. | PRODUCT CODE: 1796042
PUBLISHER: Global Industry Analysts, Inc. | PRODUCT CODE: 1796042
Global Transportation Biofuels Market to Reach US$452.0 Billion by 2030
The global market for Transportation Biofuels estimated at US$281.0 Billion in the year 2024, is expected to reach US$452.0 Billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.2% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Biodiesel, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 8.5% CAGR and reach US$185.5 Billion by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the Bioethanol segment is estimated at 9.9% CAGR over the analysis period.
The U.S. Market is Estimated at US$76.6 Billion While China is Forecast to Grow at 12.9% CAGR
The Transportation Biofuels market in the U.S. is estimated at US$76.6 Billion in the year 2024. China, the world's second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$97.5 Billion by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 12.9% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 4.2% and 7.9% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 5.5% CAGR.
Global Transportation Biofuels Market - Key Trends & Drivers Summarized
Why Are Biofuels Crucial to Decarbonizing Transport?
Transportation biofuels-such as biodiesel, renewable diesel, ethanol, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), and biomethane-provide lower-carbon alternatives to petroleum-based fuels. Derived from feedstocks like vegetable oils, waste fats, algae, and agricultural residues, they can be blended with fossil fuels or used as ‘drop-in’ substitutes depending on engine compatibility. These fuels reduce greenhouse gas emissions, support circular economies, and ensure compatibility with existing infrastructure.
What R&D Advances Are Accelerating Biofuel Competitiveness?
Second- and third-generation biofuels employ lignocellulosic biomass and algae feedstocks to avoid food-fuel competition. Catalytic pyrolysis and hydrotreating refine waste oils into high-quality renewable diesel and SAF. Synthetic biology enables engineered yeasts and bacteria to produce biofuels directly from CO2 or waste gases. Hub-based co-location with biorefineries enables carbon capture use and water recycling. Blockchain systems trace feedstock origin and verify sustainability standards for market access.
Which Transport Sectors Prioritize Renewable Fuels?
Heavy-duty trucking fleets use B20 to B100 biodiesel blends to meet GHG reduction targets. Airlines pilot SAF blends ranging from 10-50%, essential for international aviation decarbonization. Marine shipping trials renewable bio-methanol and bio-LNG as low-sulfur alternatives under IMO 2020 regulation. Public buses and refuse fleets adopt biomethane and biodiesel for cleaner city air compliance. Rail networks are running pilot tests for geothermal renewable diesel in hybrid locomotives.
What’s Driving the Expansion of the Biofuels Market?
The growth in the transportation biofuels market is driven by national carbon emissions regulations, mandates for blended renewable fuels, and rapid innovation in feedstock technology avoiding food competition. Aviation and shipping face decarbonization mandates with limited electrification options. Corporate sustainability commitments require low-carbon fuel procurement and Life-Cycle Analysis (LCA) tracking. Investment in carbon intensity labeling and trading incentives rewards low-CI fuels, fueling industry partnerships. Improving biofuel cost-competitiveness further accelerates adoption.
SCOPE OF STUDY:
The report analyzes the Transportation Biofuels market in terms of units by the following Segments, and Geographic Regions/Countries:
Segments:
Biofuel Type (Biodiesel, Bioethanol, Renewable Diesel, Sustainable Aviation Fuel, Other Biofuel Types); Feedstock (Oilseeds, Sugar Crops, Starch Crops, Cellulosic Biomass, Waste & Residues); Application (Transportation Application, Power Generation Application, Heating & Cooking Application, Industrial Application); End-Use (Road Transportation End-Use, Aviation End-Use, Marine Transportation End-Use, Other End-Uses)
Geographic Regions/Countries:
World; United States; Canada; Japan; China; Europe (France; Germany; Italy; United Kingdom; Spain; Russia; and Rest of Europe); Asia-Pacific (Australia; India; South Korea; and Rest of Asia-Pacific); Latin America (Argentina; Brazil; Mexico; and Rest of Latin America); Middle East (Iran; Israel; Saudi Arabia; United Arab Emirates; and Rest of Middle East); and Africa.
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