PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2113347
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2113347
According to Mordor Intelligence, the Indonesia infrastructure market size is expected to grow from USD 101.22 billion in 2025 to USD 106.89 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 140.4 billion by 2031 at 5.6% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Infrastructure (Transportation Infrastructure, Utilities Infrastructure, and More), by Construction Type (New Construction and Renovation), by Investment Source (Public and Private), and by Geography (Java, Sumatra, Kalimantan, Sulawesi and the Rest of Indonesia). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
The RPJMN commits USD 25.8 billion in 2025 for roads, mass transit, and energy transition assets, making infrastructure the policy centerpiece for escaping the middle-income trap. A pipeline of 210 strategic projects already enjoys presidential regulation backing, which reduces approval risk and standardizes PPP templates across ministries. Execution credibility is high because 153 legacy projects worth USD 67.1 billion reached completion between 2016-2023, demonstrating a functioning delivery apparatus. The plan explicitly targets logistics-cost reduction below 10% of GDP, a metric closely watched by manufacturing investors. By embedding climate resilience and digital connectivity targets, RPJMN provides visibility that encourages multidecade private capital commitments.
The USD 29 billion first-phase build of Nusantara turns Kalimantan into the largest construction site in Southeast Asia, sparking ancillary demand in ports, airports, and water systems. More than 61.7% of state-funded packages were physically complete by December 2024, a key confidence signal for institutional investors eyeing later-stage parcels. Design parameters call for carbon neutrality by 2045 and fully digital public services, positioning the city as a demonstration hub for smart, sustainable infrastructure. Foreign pledges reached USD 97 million by late 2024, with Russian, Chinese, and Australian participants, and are expected to accelerate once core civil works de-risk remaining phases. Spill-over effects already include road upgrades linking mineral-rich South Sulawesi to new logistics channels, underscoring the project's national multiplier.
The Ministry of Public Works budget plunged 73% to USD 1.9 billion for 2025 after a presidential efficiency mandate, forcing ministries to shelve new physical projects unless co-financed via PPPs. Although the deficit rule underpins macro stability, it shifts risk-sharing toward private investors who demand higher returns, raising project-level costs. State-owned builders now prioritize return-guaranteed toll roads over socially oriented works such as irrigation channels. The Nusantara build illustrates the tension: only 12.1% of allocated funds were spent by May 2024, compelling aggressive outreach to foreign partners. In the near term, financing scarcity may delay non-strategic assets, but it also accelerates market discipline that rewards efficient, well-structured projects.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Transportation captured 41.87% of the 2025 project value within the Indonesia infrastructure market, reflecting its centrality to cost-of-goods reduction and regional integration. New corridors such as the 1,065.5 km Trans-Java network and the Lampung-Aceh Trans-Sumatra line shorten travel times and underpin commodity supply chains. The Jakarta-Surabaya high-speed rail feasibility stage indicates future passenger rail spending once financial close is reached. Simultaneously, 25 airports have been built or upgraded since 2015, facilitating tourism and e-commerce air-cargo flows, while the maritime "Tol Laut" program enhances port-to-port reliability across 115 ports. The Indonesia infrastructure market size for transportation projects will expand at a 6.88% CAGR through 2031 as public-sector concessional loans dovetail with private toll-road equity, positioning the segment for both volume and margin growth.
Growth potential extends beyond highways. State rail operator PT Kereta Api Indonesia now bundles station commercial rights with track upgrades, creating blended revenue streams attractive to pension funds. In aviation, Dhoho Kediri, the first unsolicited airport PPP at USD 567.7 million, sets a precedent for greenfield deals, while digital air-traffic-management systems enter procurement to raise throughput. Port operators, led by Pelindo, pursue dredging and crane automation to meet 24/7 shipping standards, and investors eye bond-financed refrigerated-container yards that link fisheries to export gateways. Together, these initiatives diversify construction orders and deepen skill requirements, reinforcing transportation's role as the flagship of the Indonesia infrastructure market.