PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2116331
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2116331
According to Mordor Intelligence, the China sea freight transport market size was valued at USD 131.97 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 141.14 billion in 2026 to reach USD 197.46 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 6.95% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

This report is Segmented by Cargo Type (Containerised Cargo, Dry Bulk Cargo and More), End User Industry (Manufacturing & Industrial Equipment, Automotive, FMCG & Retail (incl. E-Commerce), Agriculture & Food Products, and More), Trade Lane/Destination Region (Intra-Asia, North America, Europe, Middle East, Africa, South America, Oceania). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
China's sustained port investments under the Maritime Silk Road banner are adding throughput faster than most trading partners can absorb, enabling shippers to reroute cargo flows with minimal friction. Newly completed deep-water hubs in Latin America and Southeast Asia shorten transit times on previously underserved corridors, a shift that encourages exporters to diversify destination portfolios. By pairing equity stakes with long-term terminal concessions, Chinese operators ensure preferential berth windows that lock in volume commitments. This integrated approach strengthens bargaining power in freight-rate negotiations, an advantage that is likely to endure as ports monetise ancillary services such as bonded warehousing.
Double-digit growth in cross-border online retail continues to reshape shipping patterns, pulling parcelised goods into consolidated container loads bound for micro-fulfilment centres overseas. Dedicated e-commerce pilot zones inside free-trade areas offer streamlined customs clearance, compressing order-to-ship lead times and making sea freight viable for categories once flown by air. Major platforms are now negotiating annual service contracts directly with carriers, guaranteeing baseline volumes that smooth capacity planning. This predictable demand profile is prompting liners to allocate more reefer and high-cube containers to fast-moving consumer segments, nudging equipment fleets toward greater specialisation.
The orderbook expansion that peaked in 2024 is now filtering into active service, outpacing incremental demand and placing downward pressure on spot rates across mainline routes. Carriers respond with strategic blank sailings, but persistent vessel deliveries continue to inflate idle capacity, especially in the 8 000-to-12 000 TEU band. This surplus is pushing some operators to reposition tonnage into secondary trades, a tactic that dampens rate recovery even where demand is firm. An unintended consequence is that shippers gain more leverage in contract talks, encouraging them to negotiate longer validity periods at lower base rates.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
The containerised segment commands a 43.55 % China Sea Freight Transport market share in 2025, a position anchored by the country's manufacturing scale and flourishing e-commerce exports. Continuous berth enhancements at flagship ports allow 24,000-TEU vessels to call without tidal restrictions, giving shippers confidence in schedule reliability. Within the container pool, demand for reefer boxes grows faster than dry units as pharmaceutical and fresh-produce exporters seek temperature-controlled integrity. This evolution nudges carriers to rebalance fleet mix toward higher-power generator sets, an investment that raises slot yields per voyage.
Roll-on/Roll-off cargo is expanding at a forecast CAGR of 7.95 %, fuelled by rising vehicle exports and new-energy-vehicle shipments that require purpose-built car carriers. The segment's momentum is prompting specialised terminals to add multistorey ramps, which increases hourly throughput and reduces berth time variance. Dry-bulk flows remain substantial, yet incremental gains concentrate in premium-grade ores that support steel decarbonisation targets, indicating a qualitative shift rather than pure volume growth. In liquid bulk, robust LNG import programmes sustain demand for membrane-type tankers, reinforcing the strategic value of shipyards capable of cryogenic construction.