PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2121678
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2121678
According to Mordor Intelligence, the Italy oil and gas market size was valued at USD 0.94 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 0.97 billion in 2026 to reach USD 1.12 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 2.98% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

This report is Segmented by Sector (Upstream, Midstream, and Downstream), Location (Onshore and Offshore), and Service (Construction, Maintenance and Turn-Around, and Decommissioning). The Market Sizes and Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Russia supplied 40% of Italy's gas in 2021, but this share fell to under 5% by 2024, as emergency legislation enabled the rapid approval of LNG terminal projects and alternative pipeline deals with Algeria and Azerbaijan. The EUR 4 billion national security package funded two FSRUs, which together add 10 billion m3 of annual capacity, thereby strengthening supply flexibility. Algerian pipeline flows rose to 32% of 2024 imports, while new U.S. and Qatari LNG cargoes reached Piombino and Ravenna, anchoring Italy's role as a Central European gas gateway. Storage fill rates above 90% ahead of winter 2025 underscore improved resiliency, and midstream contractors benefit from accelerated compression-station and metering upgrades. The structural reshaping of supply chains solidifies Italy's position as the Mediterranean conduit for diversified gas flows, extending well beyond the immediate crisis horizon.
Gas-fired plants accounted for 48% of national electricity in 2024, up from 43% in 2019, as coal closures and renewable energy intermittency necessitated the need for fast-ramping capacity. Efficiency gains in combined-cycle turbines lowered marginal costs, making gas the preferred balancing fuel, especially during winter peaks when industrial heating coincides with subdued solar output. Data-center investments in Apulia and Campania drive additional baseload requirements, and developers are increasingly signing long-term gas supply contracts to hedge against price volatility. These dynamics establish a medium-term demand floor that supports further growth in Italy's oil and gas market, despite long-term decarbonization targets.
Solar and wind capacity reached 60 GW in 2024, supplying 35% of generation and achieving EUR 40/MWh levelized costs in Sicily. Grid-scale battery deployments begin to smooth hourly volatility, trimming gas peaker dispatch during midday solar peaks. The National Recovery and Resilience Plan allocates EUR 15 billion for additional renewable energy sources through 2026, signaling an intensification of competition for gas in the power mix. Yet seasonal variability and the absence of long-duration storage maintain a reserve role for flexible gas plants, mitigating immediate displacement risks for the Italy oil and gas market.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Midstream activities are projected to account for a 4.27% CAGR to 2031, a faster pace than any other sector within the Italian oil and gas market. Snam's EUR 8.1 billion capital plan includes 1,200 kilometers of hydrogen-ready pipelines and 4 billion cubic meters of new storage, expanding Italy's oil and gas market size for midstream services alongside tariff-backed earnings. Cross-border interconnections such as the Adriatic Line enhance north-south flexibility, reinforce transit revenue, and create optionality for future hydrogen blends. Upstream remains the largest revenue source but faces plateauing production volumes, prompting service providers to shift toward maintenance and brownfield enhancement projects that generate predictable, albeit slower, revenue streams.
A robust downstream conversion trend also manifests. Bio-refineries supply premium fuels that fetch higher margins than traditional products, moderating the impact of tightening European fuel-spec standards. The sector therefore evolves from volume-driven processing to margin-driven specialty fuels, a shift that keeps Italy oil and gas market players engaged across the full value chain while meeting EU taxonomy criteria for sustainable operations.