PUBLISHER: GlobalData | PRODUCT CODE: 1716271
PUBLISHER: GlobalData | PRODUCT CODE: 1716271
This report provides a detailed analysis of the prospects for the global construction industry up to 2029.
GlobalData forecasts global construction output to rise by a more muted 2.3% in 2025, as rising uncertainty over geopolitical tensions and looming US tariff policies stifle progress worldwide. This marks a decline in the rate of growth compared with 2024, where output increased by 3.1%, and comes following significant revisions to key construction economies such as the US. Despite exhibiting a higher rate of growth, the 2024 construction environment was characterized by increased liquidity, with rising access to credit, as disinflation enabled monetary easing worldwide. It was hoped that declining interest rates would facilitate a rise to the largest component of construction output - residential - which makes up 34.3% of the total industry. However, increased uncertainty has driven widening bond yields, with 30-year mortgage lending rates not falling as substantially as central bank interest rates. Therefore, instead of 2024 creating a launchpad for the industry, allowing further growth over the forecast period, the prospect of a global trade war and increased likelihood of recession, has resulted in lower construction output expectations. As a result, GlobalData has revised its forecast for 2025, downgrading growth compared with the 2.8% estimated in the Q4 2024 Global Construction Outlook.