PUBLISHER: GlobalData | PRODUCT CODE: 2049079
PUBLISHER: GlobalData | PRODUCT CODE: 2049079
This report provides a detailed analysis of the prospects for the global construction industry up to 2030.
As 2026 unfolds, the global construction outlook is increasingly defined by intensified cost pressures, with geopolitical shocks - such as those tied to Iran, Venezuela, and Ukraine-becoming more frequent and disruptive. Construction stakeholders are contending with energy price volatility and rising freight costs, alongside structural constraints including persistent shortages in skilled labor and chronically weak productivity. In this environment, GlobalData forecasts global construction output to grow by a modest 1.5% in 2026, following a 0.2% decline in 2025. The impact of these shocks will vary by region as markets adapt to a reshaped global trading landscape. Since
Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs were introduced on April 2, 2025, contractors have faced shifting trade conditions and heightened supply-chain disruption. Building material prices have continued to climb and are unlikely to ease through the year, particularly given ongoing conflict in the Middle East. This is expected to further squeeze contractor margins and reduce project viability. At the same time, financing conditions have tightened, while homebuilding and business confidence have weakened, driving an uptick in construction sector insolvencies.
Regionally, the US construction market is expected to rebound in 2026 after contracting in 2025 amid tariff-driven uncertainty and higher costs. The recovery will be supported by relatively resilient residential activity, along with investment in data centers and broader AI-related infrastructure. The euro area, however, is likely to remain a laggard due to subdued industrial demand. North-East Asia is forecast to be the weakest-performing region in 2026, with output falling 0.7% as China's prolonged property downturn continues to suppress private-sector building. By contrast, South Asia-led by India-is expected to post the strongest growth, rising 6.3%, while parts of the Middle East and North Africa should maintain momentum through state-led infrastructure and energy-transition programs.