PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2066419
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2066419
According to Mordor Intelligence, the india oil and gas market size is expected to grow from USD 23.28 billion in 2025 to USD 24.42 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 31.24 billion by 2031 at 5.05% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Sector (Upstream, Midstream, and Downstream), Location (Onshore and Offshore), and Service (Construction, Maintenance and Turn-Around, and Decommissioning). The Market Sizes and Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
The Open Acreage Licensing Policy awarded 14 blocks in the OALP-VIII round during 2025, bringing private explorers into basins historically reserved for state-owned firms. Cairn Oil & Gas and other independents now hold interests in 22 exploration blocks, compressing appraisal timelines and encouraging secondary-recovery pilots that raise near-term production. The revenue-sharing fiscal model lowers the government's take when crude prices soften, improving frontier basin economics. Regulators enforce strict work-program milestones, so operators rely on machine-learning seismic tools to finish data acquisition within three-year windows. These developments collectively lift drilling activity and underpin the positive impact on the Indian oil and gas market.
New methanol-to-olefins and direct-reduced iron facilities added 12 million scm per day of gas demand by 2027, broadening the buyer base beyond legacy fertilizer offtakers. Gujarat's Dahej-Hazira corridor alone locked in 4.2 bcm of annual supply under take-or-pay contracts, sustaining pipeline throughput for. Tamil Nadu's Cuddalore complex will commission a 1.2 Mt ethylene cracker in 2026, absorbing regasified LNG from Ennore and tightening regional balances. A unified tariff cap of INR 70 per MMBtu keeps pipeline transport competitive with naphtha when Brent exceeds USD 70 per barrel. Higher thermal efficiency of gas-fired units relative to coal bolsters environmental compliance for energy-intensive manufacturers.
Institutional investors divested roughly USD 1.8 billion from Indian fossil equities in 2025 as net-zero mandates took hold. Equity markets had historically supplied one-third of upstream project capital, so private operators now pay 150-200 basis-point spreads above benchmarks to secure debt, eroding project economics. GAIL's USD 2.1 billion Jagdishpur-Haldia pipeline struggled to attract international lenders, pushing the firm toward domestic banks that approach exposure ceilings. ESG screens also constrain midstream and downstream projects because disclosure frameworks force companies to quantify Scope 3 emissions, which positions gas unfavorably for some global funds. The resulting capital scarcity delays final investment decisions and tempers growth in the Indian oil and gas market.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Upstream held 69.1% of the Indian oil and gas market revenue in 2025, yet its operating margin fell to 34% as mature fields required more artificial lift, pushing lifting costs to USD 22 per barrel. Downstream refining and petrochemicals expanded at 5.4% a year, and Reliance's FY2025 gross refining margin of USD 11.80 per barrel exceeded the Singapore benchmark by USD 7.30 because 18% of throughput became polymers. Midstream held the balance, but a unified tariff cap limits upside even as volumes grow.
Value capture is shifting: integrated players controlling molecules from the wellhead to the barrel of polymer command higher returns. Petrochemical add-ons boost margins while insulating refineries from motor-fuel cyclicality, making downstream assets increasingly strategic to the Indian oil and gas market. Upstream firms are responding with enhanced-oil-recovery pilots such as Cairn's polymer flood that could add 140 million barrels, mirroring downstream process-optimization philosophies.