PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2117262
PUBLISHER: Mordor Intelligence | PRODUCT CODE: 2117262
According to Mordor Intelligence, the Italy office real estate market size is expected to grow from USD 17.10 billion in 2025 to USD 17.96 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 22.98 billion by 2031 at 5.05% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Building Grade (Grade A, Grade B and More), by Transaction Type (Rental and Sales), by End Use (Information Technology (IT & ITES), BFSI (Banking, Financial Services and Insurance), and More) and by City (Milan, Rome and More). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.
Government spending is tilting decisively toward transport. Of the USD 15.0 billion raised by 2023 BTP Green bonds, 41.5% went to rail and metro projects. Politecnico di Torino finds that mixed-use nodes such as Naples' Municipio outperform single-use clusters on transit uptake. NRRP upgrades are also smoothing city-to-city links; the Bank of Italy reports that these works are shoring up construction even as the wider economy cools
The euro area posted a USD 464.3 billion current-account surplus in 2024, providing deep capital pools for real-asset allocations. ECB research shows rapid growth in pan-European real-estate funds, many targeting Italian offices. In Piemonte alone, 27 FDI projects announced in 2024 carry a USD 4.36 billion price tag, 18% of which is real estate. Borrowing costs are also supportive: the average rate on new corporate loans slipped to 3.79% in April 2025
Italy's office landscape is grappling with the legacy of outdated infrastructure. Over 65% of the country's commercial buildings were constructed before 1980, yet the annual renovation rate remains just 0.81%, falling far short of EU climate targets. Although refurbishments can lift asset value by approximately 13.5%, many owners-especially in fringe submarkets-struggle to fund deep retrofits, as prevailing rents often fail to justify the return on cost. This mismatch fuels rising vacancy risk for obsolete stock, pushing tenants to prioritise Grade A space. As a result, Italy's office market continues to experience a structural split, where the flight-to-quality trend accelerates, but net absorption in older districts remains constrained.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Grade A stock commands 44.30% of the market in 2025 and is projected to grow at a 5.62% CAGR through 2031. ECB valuation guidance underlines lenders' preference for energy-efficient assets. Semi-annual data from Agenzia delle Entrate confirm that top locations fetch a 20% premium over suburban equivalents. With only 515,000 m2 of Grade A space due by 2027, rents appear set for further upside.
Flight-to-quality also manifests beyond Milan. In Rome, prime EUR district schemes obtain USD 654 per m2 rents and capture greater international occupier interest on the back of new metro extensions. Meanwhile, Grade B stock remains the cost-efficient alternative, particularly for companies pivoting to suburban hubs amid hybrid work. Yet retrofitting costs and looming EU efficiency rules weigh on Grade C assets, accelerating disposals, conversions, or demolitions. Overall, the Grade A segment is set to post the fastest 5.62% CAGR through 2031, ensuring it continues to anchor future demand and pricing trends across the Italy office real estate market.